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Performance
Solid Foundation in Back Testing | Live Account Performances | Risk Disclosure
Solid Foundation in Back Testing (Hypotheticals)
08/12/07 UPDATE: After experiencing a significant draw down in July 2007 and new market conditions that can somewhat be traced back to the instability and failures of US sub-primie mortgage lenders, new strategies have been added/implemented as of 8/12/07 to take advantage of predominately choppy and counter trending conditions. These new strategies have been tuned to take advantage of choppy non-trending months with positive profits while the net contribution to the system during trending months is near 0% over time. This allows our previous trending and break out strategies to do their thing in trending months while performance is not adversely affected by the new counter-trend strategies.
01/24/07 UPDATE: Reports from new daily strategies have been included on the bottom of this page. These 4 new daily strategies have been added to the C25 System as of 01/24/07
Overview
Galleon has been trading private currency accounts and producing trading systems since 2003. Our results and transparency are unlike anything else you will find in the Forex world. Our predictive algorithms continue to evolve and mature to becoming more profitable each year. Back testing of our strategies over 12 years in the Forex market and even longer time periods in other markets continue to show that the core of our unique strategies is extremely powerful and profitable.
Cannon 25 (C25) Trading System
The "Cannon 25" employs approximately 25 synchronistic strategies to trade two currency pairs, EURUSD and USDCHF. These strategies are optimized and balanced to capitalize on 1-5 day movements of the US Dollar. Unlike other Forex systems that trade using very high leverage of 50:1 and 100:1, the C25 system uses no leverage or what would be called 1:1 leverage which is considerably safer than trading at higher leveraged amounts.
Cannon 25 (C25) is based on the core of our earlier system called C150 which is made up of 150 strategies. You can find more details on how and why C150 evolved to C25 in this News Item announcing C25
The table below shows Monthly Trading Results representing 12 full years of back testing the "Cannon 25". Our back testing incorporates slippage, commissions and spreads. Even more details are available in this Excel Report (1.35MB)
Negative months are represented by the yellow background. All other months are positive. Monthly percentage returns are based on 1:1 leverage. The blue backgrounds and on are results from actual trading our our demo account and calculated assuming 1:1 leverage.
The right side of this table are the approximate totals for each year as well as the Maximum Draw Downs for that year.
Monthly Return Summary for C25
| |
Jan |
Feb |
Mar |
Apr |
May |
June |
Jul |
Aug |
Sept |
Oct |
Nov |
Dec |
Totals |
MaxDD |
| 1994 |
-2.6% |
9.3% |
8.9% |
19.7% |
2.6% |
31.7% |
18.1% |
9.2% |
1.3% |
22.0% |
-2.8% |
8.4% |
125.8% |
---- |
| 1995 |
20.5% |
16.4% |
14.9% |
25.8% |
44.3% |
6.7% |
9.3% |
8.8% |
22.0% |
7.1% |
16.2% |
-2.9% |
189.1% |
---- |
| 1996 |
12.9% |
7.8% |
-0.6% |
21.5% |
19.8% |
3.2% |
11.7% |
-1.6% |
11.8% |
10.7% |
19.0% |
17.2% |
133.4% |
---- |
| 1997 |
7.7% |
9.8% |
1.5% |
3.3% |
13.2% |
19.6% |
17.2% |
6.9% |
14.3% |
22.3% |
8.8% |
18.5% |
143.1% |
-6.6% |
| 1998 |
16.4% |
9.1% |
27.7% |
23.9% |
-3.2% |
12.4% |
6.1% |
20.2% |
15.0% |
17.6% |
18.4% |
10.3% |
173.9% |
-6.7% |
| 1999 |
14.5% |
3.8% |
10.4% |
15.7% |
16.3% |
6.9% |
29.3% |
17.9% |
21.7% |
17.6% |
10.1% |
17.6% |
181.8% |
-7.4% |
| 2000 |
16.7% |
17.9% |
0.3% |
10.2% |
22.3% |
14.5% |
26.1% |
27.4% |
20.3% |
19.4% |
24.3% |
34.0% |
233.4% |
-7.7% |
| 2001 |
19.9% |
12.8% |
20.0% |
23.4% |
15.2% |
9.7% |
15.2% |
18.7% |
15.7% |
9.8% |
8.3% |
18.5% |
187.2% |
-4.7% |
| 2002 |
34.5% |
12.1% |
-0.8% |
15.3% |
23.3% |
22.4% |
28.9% |
14.2% |
10.1% |
18.6% |
14.7% |
16.6% |
209.9% |
-4.2% |
| 2003 |
20.1% |
5.9% |
14.8% |
16.3% |
26.9% |
19.6% |
11.3% |
14.2% |
18.4% |
15.4% |
30.3% |
15.1% |
208.3% |
-5.4% |
| 2004 |
9.3% |
24.9% |
18.2% |
13.2% |
14.2% |
9.9% |
25.2% |
14.7% |
10.2% |
9.7% |
13.1% |
10.4% |
173.0% |
-12.9% |
| 2005 |
12.7% |
4.5% |
22.3% |
-1.4% |
22.6% |
6.8% |
11.9% |
8.3% |
3.6% |
8.0% |
11.4% |
-1.1% |
109.6% |
- 6% |
| 2006 |
13.0% |
12.8% |
13.2% |
28.0% |
13.3% |
22.1% |
2.8% |
2.6% |
3.9% |
1.3% |
11.95% |
-1.8%
|
126.8%
|
|
| 2007 |
7.7% |
13.6% |
3.3% |
15.9% |
-2.4% |
3.02% |
~-15.9% |
|
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One may argue that these are hypothetical results based on back testing and not live trading. The truth is we have found that the live trading results of our earlier C150 System closely matched the hypothetical back tested results. You can review the previous performance and statements of C150 here which shows the core strategies are perfectly capable of producing outstanding results.
Another View Of Cumulative Returns and Max Draw Downs of C25
| |
|
1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
| Cumulative Return |
591.06% |
765.12% |
946.88% |
1180.33% |
1367.62% |
1577.73% |
1786.26% |
1959.09% |
2068.60% |
2182.15% |
| Annual Return |
143.18% |
174.06% |
181.76% |
233.45% |
187.29% |
210.11% |
208.53% |
172.83% |
109.50% |
113.55% |
| Max Drawdown |
(6.62%) |
(6.72%) |
(7.45%) |
(7.72%) |
(4.68%) |
(4.19%) |
(5.38%) |
(12.92%) |
(5.97%) |
(7.82%) |
Below are the Performance Statistics of all trades over the 12 year period as taken from the full Excel Report (1.35MB)
Performance Statistics
|
CumulativeP/L
|
2182.1460%
|
|
Avg Annual Return
|
167.8574%
|
Std Dev of Annual Returns
|
39.5445%
|
|
Avg Monthly Return
|
14.0784%
|
Std Dev of Monthly Return
|
8.4391%
|
|
Avg Weekly Return
|
3.2521%
|
Std Dev of Weekly Returns
|
4.4083%
|
|
Avg Daily Return
|
0.5484%
|
Std Dev of Daily Returns
|
1.8103%
|
|
Best 12-Month Period
|
264.4340%
|
Skewness
|
0.2483
|
|
Worst 12-Month Period
|
106.8800%
|
Kurtosis
|
0.3698
|
|
% Years Profitable
|
100.0000%
|
Sharpe Ratio
|
5.6079
|
|
% Months Profitable
|
94.1935%
|
Sortino Ratio
|
96.5613
|
|
% Weeks Profitable
|
77.9434%
|
CMGR
|
13.7697%
|
|
% Days Profitable
|
56.9490%
|
CAGR
|
370.2413%
|
|
Largest Drawdowns
|
|
Maximum Drawdown %
|
(12.9180%)
|
|
04/07/04
|
(12.9180%)
|
Months in Max Drawdown
|
0.8877
|
|
04/09/06
|
(7.8240%)
|
Max Drawdown Date
|
04/07/04
|
|
04/16/00
|
(7.7180%)
|
Average Months to Recovery
|
0.0839
|
|
01/14/99
|
(7.4520%)
|
Longest Period Between Equity Peaks (months)
|
1.4137
|
|
11/09/00
|
(7.3620%)
|
Average Months to New Equity Peak
|
0.2189
|
Four New Daily Strategies (added to C25 as of 01/24/07)
Back tested for over 30 years, these 4 new "Daily" Bar strategies add on average, about 2 trades per month and about 2% more return per month to the already powerful C25 System. You can read more about the implementation of these strategies in this news item.
Below you will find the yearly returns from these 4 new strategies based on a $100,000 account. To really dig into the details, you can download the full Rina MS Excel Report (560kb)
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Annual Analysis (Mark-To-Market):
Based on a $100,000 account
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| Period |
$Return Amount |
% Return |
# Trades |
% Profitable |
| 2006 |
$22,550.0000 |
22.5500% |
32 |
50.00% |
| 2005 |
$13,660.0000 |
13.6600% |
42 |
38.10% |
| 2004 |
$25,160.0000 |
25.1600% |
34 |
35.29% |
| 2003 |
$39,730.0000 |
39.7300% |
34 |
52.94% |
| 2002 |
$16,780.0000 |
16.7800% |
38 |
44.74% |
| 2001 |
$28,670.0000 |
28.6700% |
33 |
45.45% |
| 2000 |
$27,770.0000 |
27.7700% |
40 |
27.50% |
| 1999 |
$31,450.0000 |
31.4500% |
33 |
60.61% |
| 1998 |
$7,710.0000 |
7.7100% |
38 |
42.11% |
| 1997 |
$38,140.0000 |
38.1400% |
29 |
44.83% |
| 1996 |
$31,610.0000 |
31.6100% |
30 |
43.33% |
| 1995 |
$17,830.0000 |
17.8300% |
33 |
42.42% |
| 1994 |
$18,410.0000 |
18.4100% |
26 |
53.85% |
| 1993 |
$28,780.0000 |
28.7800% |
37 |
43.24% |
| 1992 |
$74,340.0000 |
74.3400% |
38 |
50.00% |
| 1991 |
$76,820.0000 |
76.8200% |
45 |
48.89% |
| 1990 |
$8,830.0000 |
8.8300% |
34 |
35.29% |
| 1989 |
$64,160.0000 |
64.1600% |
46 |
56.52% |
| 1988 |
$22,190.0000 |
22.1900% |
40 |
57.50% |
| 1987 |
$33,190.0000 |
33.1900% |
38 |
55.26% |
| 1986 |
$9,420.0000 |
9.4200% |
50 |
30.00% |
| 1985 |
$26,530.0000 |
26.5300% |
34 |
50.00% |
| 1984 |
$67,710.0000 |
67.7100% |
43 |
51.16% |
| 1983 |
$11,140.0000 |
11.1400% |
45 |
42.22% |
| 1982 |
$79,440.0000 |
79.4400% |
61 |
49.18% |
| 1981 |
$42,000.0000 |
42.0000% |
45 |
31.11% |
| 1980 |
$61,310.0000 |
61.3100% |
46 |
41.30% |
| 1979 |
$27,340.0000 |
27.3400% |
31 |
54.84% |
| 1978 |
$27,010.0000 |
27.0100% |
17 |
29.41% |
| 1977 |
$16,160.0000 |
16.1600% |
11 |
54.55% |
| 1976 |
($1,530.0000) |
(1.5300%) |
17 |
47.06% |
| 1975 |
$5,210.0000 |
5.2100% |
9 |
33.33% |
Thanks for taking the time to read this far and study these numbers. We present all the relevant information we have on our systems so that you are making an informed decision when deciding to open an account with Galleon.
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