May 1st Newsletter
1) April Results 13-20%
2) Use of Leverage Going Forward
1) April Results 13-20%
It is hard not to get excited when we see another month when the equity
takes off and does not look back. Intra month draw downs seemed to be
less than 3% while the end of the month upside was an incredible 20%
in some cases. With six months of solid history behind our most recent
evolution of the C25 trading systems, our current performance numbers
appear as this below.
Actual C25 Results
Date
mm/yy |
FXCM
USD
PAMM
|
FXCM
EUR
PAMM
|
Duka
EUR
PAMM
|
100k_Demo
1:1 Lev |
75k_Demo
1.5:1 Lev |
50k_Demo
2:1 Lev |
Demo Account
Profits &
Statements
|
See
Notes
on web
|
| 11/06 |
+0.9% |
+0.8%
|
+2.5% |
+11.95% |
+ 15.93% |
+23.90% |
$11,948.92 |
a,c,d |
| 12/06 |
+2.1% |
+0.0%
|
-3.9% |
-1.84% |
-2.46% |
-3.69% |
-$1.843.26 |
b,c |
| 01/07 |
+6.9% |
+8.1% |
+15.8% |
+7.77% |
+10.36% |
+15.53% |
$7,766.50 |
c |
| 02/07 |
+8.5% |
+10.4% |
+12.9% |
+13.66% |
+18.22% |
+27.33% |
$13,664.47 |
|
| 03/07 |
-1.2% |
-2.2% |
+5.3% |
+3.24% |
+4.31% |
+6.47% |
$3,236.03 |
e |
| 04/07 |
+20.8% |
+13.7% |
+7.53% |
+15.9% |
+23.8% |
+31.8% |
|
f |
Of course, the first question you may have is why the large differences
in returns between the 3 PAMM accounts shown in this chart in the month of April? The short
answer this time is "Leverage".
Early in the month both FXCM's PAMM accounts were trading near 1.5:1
leverage. Because USD PAMM deposits came at a time when not much
movement was happening in the markets, we were able to maintain a
leverage pretty close to 1.5:1. Because of this, you can also see how
the results in the USD PAMM closely matches the predicted gains from
our 1.5:1 Leveraged Demo numbers. The EUR PAMM situation was a little
different. In the second week of April, the combination of a larger
influx of deposits in the EUR PAMM while key moves were happening all
resulted in our positions being a bit lower leveraged than we would
have liked. As a result we also consulted with FXCM on the
possibility of automating the increasing or decreasing of leverage/lots
with respect to account equity. Automation turned out to NOT be
possible but we now have other procedures in place to keep a closer
watch on things, as well as a way to add lots to existing open
positions to maintain a most consistent leverage. The end result of
this process should keep both of the FXCM PAMMs returning more equal
percentages regardless of PAMM's account equity.
The Dukascopy account is another story as well. First remember that
our FXCM PAMMs trade mini lots which are 1/10th the size of a standard
100k lot. Mini lots at FXCM allow us a very fine and granular way to
scale leverage up or down as well as compound equity gradually which
all results in a smoother equity curve. Because Dukascopy is traded
with standard 100k lots we do not have this flexibility and when forced
to over or under leverage, we chose the later more conservative route.
Our Dukascopy PAMM is at the point now where we can adjust lots up a
notch more. This should result in results somewhere between what the
1.5:1 and 2:1 leveraged accounts will produce in May.
For a better understanding of leverage and how it related to our
trading accounts, please read our "About Leverage" paragraph found at
this link. http://www.galleonfx.com/content/view/27/39/
2) Use of Leverage Going Forward
If you have kept up with our website news and information regarding
leverage, you would know that in most cases we maintain leverage
somewhere between 1:1 and 2:1. Our hypothetical results are actually
based on 1:1 leverage and up until the 2nd week of April, our average
leverage on trading accounts has actually been closer to 1:1 than to
2:1. At the same time both hypothetical and real world results show
that the risk to reward ratio of maintaining a leverage closer 2:1 is
not just tolerable, but acceptable to most all people. So, along with
our new procedure of maintaining a more consistent leverage, we have
recently been maintaining leverage closer to 2:1 on both FXCM PAMMs as
of the 4th week of April.
Maintaining leverage closer to 2:1 means slightly larger draw
downs but much higher returns. See the table above for an example of
what 2:1 leverage can produce. Since most of our clients are seeking
aggressive growth we feel that current and future clients will be happy
with leverage being skewed more towards 2:1 than 1:1. It is also just
a matter of time until we provide options not just for aggressive
investors, but for conservative investors seeking lower leveraged
accounts. If a lower leveraged account is more appealing to you or
your clients please contact us.
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